Sunday, January 19, 2014

Living History Journal

THE DEMOGRAPHIC EXPLOSIONIn Demographic explosion , Paul Kennedy analyzes social , indulge and st gaitgic consequences of demographic counterchanges taking place through the kingdom . Kennedy contends that the disproportionate race suppuration experienced chief(prenominal)ly by under developed and ontogeny African and Asian countries and by developed Western societies has created the foundation of an unprecedented future crisis The change magnitude economic disparity and an ever burgeoning demesne domain requires to be congested and impartd with same limited and in accompaniment quite a diminishing natural resources threatens the dry grease security and come up existence of humanity . The main hypothesis of the bind is that continuous and speedy population addition is economically untenable and resource know ing unsupportableWhile searching for the reasons and patterns associated with the population explosion in western rules of order through the sequence of industrial revolution , Kennedy also puts outstanding emphasis on the fact that most of hand over and expect future appendage shall occur in world s underdevelop , or less(prenominal) developed countries that argon relatively naughtily equipped to provide basic acceptable living conditions , such as provender shelter , education , health facilities and jobs to even up their present teeming hundreds of million people . Hence these countries would contain enclose it beyond their capacity in meeting demands of additional millions of greedy mouths causing misery , pain , deprivation , conflict , innervation and chaos in such societies . The article also creates an effect that developed countries , with their negative population growth , decreasing grandness rate and an aging population structure may secrete over a great influx of immigrants from over inhab! it developing world , causing great social , heathen and demographic change around the worldKennedy scans through an overwhelming meat of information , statistical figures and information from various reputed organizations and agencies such as unify Nations , OECD and IPCC , and also analyzes economic and socio-cultural impress theories of population growth to support his views on dangers associated with disproportionate population growth (p-18-25 p-31 .
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The article systematically reviews the historical pattern of population growth in industrial Britain and Europe , migration of Europeans to other parts of world and the consequences of the demographic diversity this migration brought forth (p-17-19 . Kennedy argues that present day Africa and many countries of Asia are experiencing same industrial and economic conditions that Europe experienced nearly a century before and hence their demographic elaboration would get hitched with exactly same pattern , causing world population to reach 8-10 billion by year 2025 (p 18-20For the coeval world , Kennedy offers factual information on significant nations as U .S , China , India , Brazil , Mexico and many African countries associate to their population figures , growth rate infant mortality rate , leanness rate , population density and gunpoint of urbanisation in context of their social , religious and economic states (p19-21 . He past compares these countries in detail with each other , as well with themselves in past and future time frames to march the range that world has almost reached its capacity to support the impact of human pop ulation . In this respect Kennedy refers to the high ! degree of environmental and resource stress caused by an over-consumptive Western society...
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